My books
Commodities: 50 Things You Need To Know
“Commodity speculators and armchair economists alike will love Peter Sainsbury’s hugely informative book, ‘Commodities’.” – 5 star Amazon review
“Mine of information from a very well informed writer.” – 5 star Amazon review
“A really great book – written in a very digestible and clear way” – 5 star Amazon review
Whether you are involved in commodities trading or investing or simply – like the rest of us – consume them on a daily basis, this guide to commodities book should have something for you. Peter Sainsbury, founder of Carbon Risk, introduces and explains the essential things you really need to know about commodities in a series of 50 accessible and engaging essays.
Beginning with the basics, such as the price elasticity of supply and the role of expectations, and concluding with the latest thinking on speculation and commodity markets and commodity trading and investing, he sheds light on all the essential topics needed to understand commodity super-cycles, resource scarcity and security, and the way the world of commodities affects us every day.
Most books about commodities sell you the dream that you can give up your day job and make a killing by trading soybeans. Some suggest that you should invest your pension in gold and a basket of other commodities and look forward to a prosperous retirement. The others are full of complex statistics that are impenetrable to most people. This book is different. Packed with real-life examples and quotations from key thinkers and market players Commodities: 50 Things You Really Need To Know is a lively and relevant exploration of how commodities and commodity markets influences every aspect of our lives
Commodities 50 Things You Need To Know
Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits and Profits in the Commodity Casino
"A highly practical book that every investor and analyst needs to read several times....shows why investors need to do their own research, and not just follow the pundits" - Samir Madani, #OOTT & Tanker Trackers
"With technology, geopolitics, and economics colliding to make commodities a challenging place to invest, Peter's timely book on the folly of commodity forecasting serves as a cautionary tale and a guide to preventing us from repeating the mistakes of the past." - Chris Berry, House Mountain Partners
"Essential reading for investors and executives" - Paul Hodges, International eChem
This book will help you make better investment decisions in commodity markets. Find out which pundits and forecasters really know what they are talking about and track them. Understand the factors you can use to hold the 'experts' to account. Peter Sainsbury tells the story of how dairy farmers in New Zealand, petrochemical companies in the US and miners in Canada have been affected by overly optimistic views on future commodity prices.
This isn't just a story of investors losing their money, but loss of communities and livelihoods and even whole economies usurped by just the expectation of a commodity boom. Central to this is the power of the forecast in driving decision-making. All too often investors and executives outsource vital thinking to others they perceive have some edge in predicting prices, without really stopping and asking why, how and what if?
In Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits and Profits in the Commodity Casino, Peter Sainsbury, founder of Carbon Risk, shows how you can take back control. In these pages you'll learn: Why incentives tell you everything about financial market pundits; what warning signs to watch out for; forecasting principles and practice; how to be a more sophisticated consumer of financial media; what you can do to avoid your business, industry or country becoming a commodity "white elephant"; what you can do to make better investments in commodities and other financial assets.
Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits and Profits in the Commodity Casino
Pay Attention: 101 Ways To Tame The Narrative Machine, Be A Smarter Media Consumer And Stop Outsourcing Your Thinking
“Peter brilliantly shows that the key to better thinking and decision making in this day and age is to understand not the content, but the narrative.”- Andrew Stotz, Ph.D., CFA, CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research
"…learn how to weed out fact from fiction with Peter’s book by your side.” - Samir Madani, Tanker Trackers
“…it is imperative for consumers to understand the underlying factors that shape the narrative.”- Nathaniel E. Baker, Contrarian Investor Podcast
The disinformation age is drowning us in a deluge of data, ‘facts’ and opinion. It consumes our attention. The result of this deficit of attention is the rise of fake news, media bias and a polarised society. Our capacity to reason what is happening in the world and to make better decisions has become incapacitated amid the cacophony. Instead, we outsource our thinking to others without even realising it. It may feel like we are making our own well informed decisions. More often than not that is an illusion driven by the narrative machine.Economist Peter Sainsbury unravels the truth about the power of media narratives, the breakdown in trust and why our attention has been diverted from what matters. Pay Attention offers 101 ways in which each of us can fight back.
Pay Attention: 101 Ways To Tame The Narrative Machine, Be A Smarter Media Consumer And Stop Outsourcing Your Thinking